Commodities Update – CS,DB,BC – 02nd April14
by on Apr 2, 2014 •Commodities remain the best performing asset class for 2014. Its noteworthy that hedge funds have recorded a poor quarter’s performance but especially in the last month. To the long side, stocks tracked by Deutsche Bank AG with the highest concentration of hedge fund ownership were down 4.5 percent from March 7 through last week. To...
Cross Asset Weekly Technical Analysis – “Minor Top Later This Week” 1st April14
by on Apr 2, 2014 •Its time again for the Swiss team’s regular weekly cross asset report. We have continued price strength in the SP500 index and today’s price action has produced a close above the 1883 level producing a new all time record high for the index. The team cover the eventuality by sighting the following: “A break of...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – AG,GS,CS,DB,Citi,BarCap,Yardeni – 1st April14
by on Apr 1, 2014 •Of all the weekly reports that come through its the trio of the Citi, UBS and AG reports that I am drawn to. I like the CS macro pulse and the GS weekly tech also the Barcap tech. There are many runners up in terms of analysis but top trio are standouts in my view....
FX Weekly Marco & Technical Analysis – 29th March14
by on Mar 30, 2014 •The FX markets have been choppy and directionless in recent months and volumes (and profits) have been falling. Like equities we need some clear trends to emerge between the major fx pairs. With great divergence between the dm nation’s economic progress (and inflation) it seems we are getting close to some new trends and it...
Weekly MM Update – Citi Fitzpatrick – 28th March14
by on Mar 29, 2014 •I have a heap of 25 reports to load up this weekend so i will be posting those with some capsyn comments. Briefly though this just hit my electronic desk so i wanted to bring you the latest Fitzpatrick comments here below. The comments are quite technical in nature but extremely insightful. Happy to pick...
Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – Citi Fitzpatrick 24th March14
by on Mar 26, 2014 •Here below are the two latest reports from Fitzpatrick and his team at Citi. He argues the strong dollar case along FI and divergent interest rate lines. Its a strong case and one which, interestingly, he doesn’t see negatively impacting gold. Here is his latest weekly report: citi-tech-20-3-14 And here Citi’s latest interim update with...
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Update – “China Bullish Reversal” 25th March14
by on Mar 26, 2014 •Here below please find the Swiss team’s latest weekly technical analysis report on the major international asset markets. They pick up many of the same issues as we have already on the forum pages and prior posts inc the Biotech sector issues and also the SOX deeply overbought etc, etc. They remain medium term bullishly...
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Multi Market Macro Technical Analysis – CapSyn,Barcap,CS,GS,MS,AG,CB,JP,BNP & Nomura 23rd March14
by on Mar 24, 2014 •Sunday night so time to be ready for the week ahead. Last week saw the bulls attempted to reassert themselves on what was, prior week, a bearish price candle across many equity indexes with a reasonable score of intra week volatility. By the close of business on Friday the Nasdaq had scored a decent perfect...
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Weekly “MM” Technical Analysis “>1867 Opens Re-Test Of SP500 Highs” 18th March14
by on Mar 18, 2014 •The US equity markets are in line of sight of a full reversal of last week’s bear candle in only two trading sessions. Its certainly very impressive price action for the bulls. A reversal of price like this on the weekly would be bullish and invite those short to cover and reverse potentially. From failed...
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Multi Market Marco & Technical Analysis Update – Citi,GS,Yardeni, Capsyn, JP, CS, Nomura,MS,Scotia,Commerz-16th March14
by on Mar 17, 2014 •We are almost exactly 5 years into one of the longest cyclical bull markets of the last century. And within this cyclical bull market we are at a point of significant technical “stretch” on a many different metrics including not having testing the 200 day moving average since 2012 or not having experienced a 10%...
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Multi Market Allocations & Strategy – JP,Commerz,CFTC 15th March14
by on Mar 15, 2014 •Here the US Equity JP team. JP-USequity-10-3-14 Here the JP Asia team JP-asia-equity-11-3-14 And here the commercial positions in various asset markets. cftc-10-3-14 And here Commerz with their weekly macro strat & comment: commerse-wklystrat-14-3-14 Much more to come tomorrow. Have a great weekend what ever you are up to. Rich
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “Watch China” 11th March14
by on Mar 11, 2014 •Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s comments and analysis. An excellent timely report as usual. We are at a critical junction across markets at present usual but a bit more concise as we are in difficult zone here across many instruments. The Geopolitical situation is also playing into the mix....