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Weekly Technical Analysis, Yardeni & CapSyn “The Easy Money Has Left The Table” – 14-01-14
by on Jan 14, 2014 •The Swiss team are travelling this week so its a Yardeni and Capsyn near term track through the usual indicators. First up I want to present the latest Yardeni reports issued today and over the last few days. They collectively provide a wealth of information on the health and structure of this market. I include...
Equity Recommendations & Analysis – BarCap,JP – 10th Jan13
by on Jan 12, 2014 •Here JP from their North American equity research team inc recommendations and strategy. Of course much of their justification bull equity strategy and valuation is bench marking vs the UST and junk bond rates. Only on this basis are equities are cheap. And why are bond rates so low as the FED is pouring QE...
Global FX Technical Analysis – BarCap,Citi,JP, Danske,JP,MIG,Nordea – 10 Jan13
by on Jan 12, 2014 •Its been a busy week back on the FX markets. First a quick walk through on the past and a summary of the current issues ahead relating FX to all asset markets. The last few years has seen gradually reducing volatility in the global FX markets. The risk on inverse correlation ratio to the US$...
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“MM” Allocations/Tech/Recs – CS,Citi,JP,MS, Barcap – 10 Jan14
by on Jan 11, 2014 •Here the latest multi market recommendations and allocations from the majors. First up Citi in a very useful short report detailing some of the 2013 history and projections for 2014. They sight a 93% probability for out performance in N.Asian equities. Citi-globalmmwkly-06-1-14 A couple of concise reports from allocation strat and changes. MSwealth-mm-06-1-14 And here...
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Bullion Forecasts & Technical Analysis – UB,CB,Barcap – 09 Jan14
by on Jan 10, 2014 •Here a couple of reports on the bullion markets. The team from Switzerland taking a slightly more bullish line but Commerz keeping their bearish targets and a break in support. UBS-Bullion-07-01-14 And here Commerz. CommerzB-Bullionwkly-08-1-14 And here the Barcap team on the bullion. Barcap-bullion-09-1-14 And many more reports to follow in the next 24hrs! Have...
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European Equity Recommendations/Allocations – JP, 06 Jan14
by on Jan 10, 2014 •A great report so happy to provide in isolation to others. Note over wight European markets vs ftse. JP-Euroequity-06-1-14 Rich
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“MM” EM & Asian Focus – JP, Sch – 08th Jan14
by on Jan 10, 2014 •The EM markets badly under performed for 2013 here some reports from the JP team covering the year passed and the year ahead for EM and Asian markets from a macro and then dropping down into specific tactical picks. Commercial property is a significant weighting of asset allocators. Note the rec from JP for Sun...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rotation Bonds & Commodities into Equities, The New Mega Trend” 07Jan14
by on Jan 8, 2014 •Here below please find the latest Swiss team’s technical report. As its their first technical report for 2014 its a nice review of the year past and attempts to sign post where we have come from and we are going on their cyclical road maps. Its an exceptionally thought provoking and therefore meaningful medium and...
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“MM” Reports (Inc FI & FX) CS,JP,TD,CB – 03 Jan13
by on Jan 5, 2014 •Some of the institutions issued new reports as of Friday. Many firm’s research desks have remained closed until tomorrow or in some cases Tuesday. Here are the latest reports for the first complete week back in the new year 2014. Here the outstanding ‘mm’ report from CS to kick things off. cs-mm2-23-12-13 Here from JP...
Commodity Outlooks SC,ANZ,D,MG,JLT – 2014
by on Jan 5, 2014 •Its been a wonderful holiday season but its time again to get back down to work. As the first post for 2014 lets start with the great under performer of the last few years. Namely commodities! SC-Commodites-2014 ANZ-Commoditiesoutlook14 D-miningoutlook14 Mcguarie-agri-outlook14 LBMA-Outlook14 And here some geopolitical outlook for 2014 which, depending on what occurs, can affect...
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2014 Outlooks – “MM” Technical Analysis. ML,CS,BS,Citi,SB,HS,JL,WF
by on Dec 31, 2013 •Last post for 2013. What a wonderful year it has been for trend followers.Hedge funds have generally had a dismal year. One quote from a hedge fund manager summed up the situation nicely. “All you had to do this year was go long a major US index and go focus on your golf swing”. Yes...
JP Commodities 2014 Outlook – “Tapering is Bullish, not Bearish, for Commodity Markets”
by on Dec 31, 2013 •2013 has been a dismal year for commodity bugs and especially the gold bugs. But cyclically wise commodities usually rise toward the end of a recovery period in asset prices. They are the laggards to the move so commodity bugs it could be time to wake up to these themes again. Rising interest rates have...