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Multi Markets “MM” Weekly – SC,CB,GS,BarCap,CS, (9-13Dec13)
by on Dec 11, 2013 •A host of weekly “MM” reports from the major institution’s wealth and private banking teams. There is much to add comment to these reports but under immense time pressure as we build to year end here. citi-wealth-mmwkly-09-12-13 Barcap-wklymm-06-12-13 cswealth-wklymkts-06-12-13 GS-WklyMkts SC-wklymkt-07-12-13 FX and Equity to follow shortly. Luck to all Rich
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DB – 2014 Multi Mkt & Focus Credit Forecasts
by on Dec 11, 2013 •The 2014 forecasts are starting to come thick and fast from the majors. Many more inc comments and Capsyn 2014 view to follow soon. Multi mkts db-2014 & DB 2014 with a special focus on credit markets.Note 2014 is likely to provide some credit volatility if and when the Fed finally taper. db-credit2014 The price...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 1850 Remains The Target” 10th Dec13
by on Dec 10, 2013 •Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s run through. The headline is they maintain that any near term weakness is corrective in nature and part of a year end push higher. This report is a bit thinner than usual but this fits with the theme of being patient for our year...
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Commodities & Fixed Income – CS,BarCap,GS,CB – 8th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •Here some commodity and fixed income related reports. Watch both markets very carefully here. The UST is back over 2.8% at 2.86%. She is reaching a danger threshold area feeding into US mortgage rates etc. The spread to junk is at extremes. The text book case is that rates rising are usually correlated to cyclical...
Weekly Economic Roundup – DanskeB,AIB,CS,ML,WF 06th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •The summary from these ten reports below: Increased spending achieved via growth in consumer credit and reduced savings as income declines in real terms. Weak economic growth and from the jobs data lots of part time low skilled service jobs being created. Non standard monetary measures are working in that they are helping to sustain...
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Allocations, Tech & Strat – CS Wealth, MS Wealth & ML – 06th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •To start off with a great report here from MS wealth re macro and mkt comments feeding into their allocation models. Note “S&P 500 is 23.8, which is 44.4% above its long-term average of 16.5″. MSwealth-allocations-06-12-13 A useful report here from CS wealth. They remain bullish equities and make some equity picks here in...
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Multi Mkt Monthly & Wkly – CS,D,UB,Commerz – 04th Dec13
by on Dec 5, 2013 •Its the start of the final month of the calendar year so here some of the latest institutional multi mkt considerations and YE strat. CS-WealthMnthly-Dec14 CS-WealthWkly-03-12-13 DanskeB-Macrowkly-01-12-13 UBSWealth-Dec14 commerz-stratwkly-04-12-13 A flash comment for my own book. I’m looking for a bottom in the cyclical sectors and indexes here. The IBEX has bounced in the last...
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FX Technical Blitz (DB,CS,JP,JS,DanskeB) – 04th Dec13
by on Dec 5, 2013 •My desk is swamped with reports so better I post them up than delay before having time to make comments. I’m afraid i’m under immense time pressure at present. I hope to make some more meaningful comments on the forum pages. CS-FXstrat-04-12-13 CS-FXtech-03-12-13 DanskeB-FX-IMM-03-12-13 DanskeB-FX2014 JP-FX-Strat-03-12-13 MS-FXWkly-29-11-13 DB-FX–03-12-13 US$ strength is the renewed theme, it...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Pullback to 1780 before 1850 end Dec”
by on Dec 3, 2013 •Ok its that time of the week again for the award winning Swiss team’s usual run through of the global asset markets. Really this should be read alongside the comprehensive Sunday technical update. Ive little more to add other than picking up the Swiss team’s comments re the market internal sector issues. We picked up...
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FX Pairs – Technical Analysis & 2014 Forecasts Citi,JP,SC,DB,CS – 02nd Dec13
by on Dec 3, 2013 •Here a raft of technical comments and charts on the major fx pairs from the large institutional trading teams. To start off here the usual SC Private Banking team’s weekly analysis SC-FXwkly-02-12-13 And here another excellent weekly view from the Citi fx team Citi-Wklyfx-02-12-13 Commerz here on the weekly em fx pairs. Commerz-emwkly-02-12-13 Here an...
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2014 Forecasts – CS & JPCAZ
by on Dec 3, 2013 •We are 4 weeks from the end of the calender year of 2013. The end year usually provides a platform for the professional ‘expert’ forecasters to provide their respective views for the year ahead. Here three 2014 forecast reports from JP Caz & the usual CS team. First up CS: cs-2014strat Here JPCaz providing their...
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Equity Markets Technical Analysis – Capsyn,Yardeni,BarCap – 01 Dec13
by on Dec 1, 2013 •December is usually an excellent month for equities. Its often called a window dressing month securing the year end bonuses for the staff within the financial services industry. This year very few indeed are on the short side here so we must assume there are very few that want lower equities to record lower year...