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BarCap-Equities Strategy – 05th Nov13 “Cyclicals Outperform”
by on Nov 5, 2013 •An excellent review and forecast equities strat from the team at BarCap. Note: “Within the Stoxx 600, the Insurance, Telco and Banks sectors showed the strongest out performance and ended the month up 8.2%, 6.7% and 5.7% respectively”. The alpha in the month was indeed the Insurance sector which was the over weight allocation here...
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “SP500 Consolidation” 05th Nov13
by on Nov 5, 2013 •The usual award winning technical analysis from the usual Swiss team. They have firmed up on the recent technical improvement across indexes. They are no longer forecasting a correction near term. Their cyclical model remains as was previously ie a deep correction into early 2014. Its the FX markets that are providing the fizz at...
SChartered – Weekly FX Technical Analysis – 04th Nov13
by on Nov 4, 2013 •The team coming out with their new report today and maintaining their long euro positions in line with recent trend in spite of Thursday’s excitement. I don’t see anything as yet technically to undo the euro long bias vs the us$. Fundamentally the euro monetary picture remains tight and therefore positive vs the US$ and...
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JPM-FX & Equity Reports – “Eurusd Impressive But Not Conclusive, Yet”
by on Nov 3, 2013 •Some great reports from the JP team here below. The equity report needs some thoughtful comments. The FX is inconclusive as yet, imo. Participants are collecting again around the themes of a weaker euro and gbp vs the US$ . Here some FX reports to start proceedings. JPM-FXtechstrat-31-10-13 JPM-FXDaily-01-11-13 JPM-FXUpdate-01-11-13 The fundamental case contra the...
WF Wkly & Monthly Eonomic Roundups – “Weak Improvement Continues” – 01st Nov13
by on Nov 3, 2013 •Here a round up of the latest WF reports. We start with the usual weekly roundup. WF-WeeklyEconomicFinancialCommentary_01-11-13 This week’s view of the ISM manufacturing data. WF-ISM Manufacturing-01-11-13 And here the latest housing monthly report. WF-UShousingmonthly-01-11-13 Here an outstanding report from the team which needs some digestion and comment! WF-USManufacturing&Credt-01-11-13 And here finally another good report...
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CommerzB-Commodity FX Tech Weekly – 30th Oct13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •The usual excellent Commerz weekly technical report on the commodity fm pairs. Here the report: CommerzB-CommodityFX-30-10-13 rich
CS FS Weekly Technical Strategy – 30th Oct13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •The usual excellent CS weekly fx strategy report with a big focus on a bounce back for the US$ vs the euro. They present the weak euro fundamental data we already know about. Technical support for the DX here. They are bullish the US$, see an over valuation for the Euro and expect a significant...
CommerzB FX Weekly Strat 30th Oct13 – EURUSD “1.40 Risk of Failure High” & GBPUSD “Risks to Downside”
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Good report hitting the key trades at present and their tech view, strat and levels. Commerz-fxstrat-30-10-13 Rich
JP-FXDaily-30th Oct13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Here JPM on the daily report. Like JP i’m also involved in fishing for gbp weakness here. JP in the trade and aiming for the next cyclical trend. In their sights, and others, is weakness in the GBP. As they acknowledge the trend is not there yet but they are fishing and the trade has...
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CS Wealth – Monthly Global Strategy – November13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Good report here from CS Wealth. No surprise to hear some participants calling the bottom in 2009 the start of a new secular bull market for equities! When more participants start making this call it will certainly be a good contrarian indicator. Its a consensus view with calls for more compression on high yield, out...
WF – Fundamental Review – PPI, ConConf, CPI & IP – 29th Oct13 – “Could We Be Wrong?”
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Ahead of the announcement by the FED. There is a lot of market comment from industry gurus e.g. the comments from Blackrock’s CEO and PIMCO’s CEO advocating an immediate FED taper. Here below I strongly suggest there will be no Fed taper forthcoming as the data is in fact moving in other direction. We have...
CommerzB – Bullion Weekly Tech – 29th Oct13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Its Fed day and we see the Bullion and FX at some key levels here. The Commerz technical report here below and the team wanting to see a clear break of 1359 gold bullion and 23.14 on silver. The Silver chart has distributed recently. If she breaks above this resistance she should move with momentum...